How Might The Coronavirus Be Understood A Year Plus?

Let me say this right up front. This article is speculative, not hard proven fact. And while I’m not a scientist, I have worked in and around scientist for a big chunk of my life. Thus I’m acutely accustomed to their various thought patterns.

Scientists are not particularly good at projecting minimal data into the future. This is not necessarily a bad thing. It keeps them from jumping to incredibly wrong conclusions, conclusions that could in certain instances like the current epidemic prove deadly. And since right now there is so much missing data concerning this Coronavirus pandemic, scientists are extremely limited as to what definitive statements they are willing to make about the situation.

I, like Trump (hopefully better than our national moron ha, ha) am free to speculate into the virus future based on what we know currently of the matter. So what do we know, really? Basically we only know three things. The virus spreads though a society like wildfire; it is exceedingly stealthy, being totally asymptomatic in many and showing the symptoms of no more than a mild cold in countless others; and like the flu, or a pack of wolves, the Coronavirus is exceedingly adept at running down the sick and the vulnerable.

And thanks in no small part to our fearless leader who, like an eight-year-old child wishing to take no responsibility but claiming unlimited power, the president’s foot-dragging when it comes to pushing for tests and testing has left America particularly blind as to just who has the disease and who has had it. Short of that data it’s anybody’s guess as to what happens next.

So at this point let me dive into the deep end of the speculative pool. My first shocking bit of conjecture is that the Coronavirus is not a particularly deadly virus. This will become apparent once massive testing is put into play, revealing the fact that most of the population has been exposed to the disease, and thus on the bases off such huge numbers, the effective death rate is likely to be quite a lot lower than the yearly flu outbreaks.

What makes the Coronavirus seemingly so deadly is the speed of its mostly invisible transmission, causing super sick people to suddenly pile up in hospital intensive care units. Moreover, because it is aggressiveness when it comes to its speed of attack, one might expect the death rate from the flu to decrease as the Coronavirus beats the flu to the punch when it comes to killing off the elderly, mostly heath compromised aspect of the world’s population.

But what about those seemingly healthy young or middle aged folks that have succumbed to the Coronavirus? Okay here is where you know what really gets deep. “Seemingly healthy” may be the key words here. Who know what genetic flaws exists in such folks that the Coronavirus has figured out how to exploit. It might have turned out that some deadly illness would have surfaced in these people a few years down the road. Medicine still has a long way to go in figuring out some of the finer points of biology.

The upside of this pandemic, this war as the “president” calls it, is that wars greatly accelerate the learning curve. What we humans are being drive to learn on the fly this time with the Coronavirus should give us a much better chance at taking on the next biological challenge from hell.

Indeed, the world will likely be better prepared the next time, and hopefully there will be a infinitely better leader of the free world in the White House than on this current maddening go round.

Jim Ridgway, Jr. military writer — author of the American Civil War classic, “Apprentice Killers: The War of Lincoln and Davis.” Christmas gift, yes!

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